CLIMATE OUTLOOK FOR OCTOBER – DECEMBER 2020 / MWELEKEO WA MVUA ZA VULI KUANZIA OKTOBA – DISEMBA 2020

CLIMATE OUTLOOK FOR OCTOBER – DECEMBER,

 2020 (VULI) RAINFALL SEASON

Highlights for October –December, 2020 (Vuli) rainfall season

This statement describes the evolution of the climate systems and outlook for the October to December, 2020 rainfall season, advisories and early warnings to various weather sensitive sectors including agriculture and food security, livestock and fisheries, natural resources, wildlife and tourism, energy and water, transport (land, marine and aviation), local authorities, health and disaster management. This season is more significant for the areas of the northeastern highlands, northern coast, Lake Victoria Basin and the northern parts of Kigoma region. The key message contained in the outlook indicates that:

a. The Vuli 2020 seasonal rains

i.Vuli rains are expected to be below normal to normal and characterized by prolonged periods of dry spells.

ii. The Vuli rains are expected to start late between the second and third week of November 2020 over the northeastern highlands and northern coast.

b. Expected Impacts

i. Soil moisture deficit is expected over most areas.

ii. Outbreak of water borne diseases is likely to occur due to periodic shortage of clean and safe water.

iii. Inadequate pasture and water can result into conflicts between farmers and pastoralists.

iv. Risk of forest fires is likely to be elevated, relevant authorities are advised to prepare strategies to mitigate the associated impacts.

 

The downloadable files below in English and Kiswahili has the full outlook.

Mwelekeo wa Mvua za Msimu_ OND 2020 (Kiswahili)-FINAL

Seasonal Rainfall Outlook OND 2020 (English Version)-FINAL

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